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happened? >> never. >> meanwhile, governor romney spent his time full time on the trail in florida. he was balancing between campaigning and sensitivity for the storm victims. >> keep folks in your thoughts and prayers. it's a big part of what america is, when there are challenges we come together and that help is needed now. >> with five days to go now until the election, both candidates are now back on the trail full time. president obama has set a schedule for the entire home stretch. he kicks it off in the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be deci
to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996,
, florida, after 24,000 people turned out to hear him in virginia. think about that. 24,000 in virginia. 23,000 people in florida today. in concord, new hampshire, this morning, when 14,000 people turned out to hear president obama, that was the largest crowd ever assembled for a political event in the entire state in new hampshire. in the entire history of the state of new hampshire. i realize new hampshire may not be big, but new hampshire is old. and this is the biggest political rally ever held in the state of new hampshire for the entire time that new hampshire has existed. we cannot be sure why more people are turning out to hear president obama today than are turning out to hear mitt romney. maybe it's just the power of incumbency. governor romney's rallies have been quite smaller, but these are quite good crowds all around. for both campaigns. in relative terms and in absolute terms. now it's the part of the campaign where we also start watching another variety of huge crowds. look at this. oh, man. crowds of people lining up to vote in florida. we have been getting reports that the
cain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we're going to pick up pennsylvania. we'll think we got a real good shot in virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. you know, that's the pathway to victory for john mccain and we're excited. we're hoping to see a lot of people out there in chicago on election night with barack obama experiencing a long, cold night, as we learn that john mccrane surprised them and won. >> it's nice he wishes physical discomfort on his political enemies, just gratuitously throwing that in. but notice what exactly he was so confidently predicting there. the day before the election in 2008, it was mitt romney. these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> you see how all those states were blue? mr. romney's confident predictions that john mccain was going to win ohio,
florida, florida, florida. but what hasn't changed is the path to victory, making the sunshine state our state of the day. >> all that plus the image emblematic of what barack obama wanted from his presidency. it took four years and an act of god to get it. it's thursday and you're in "the cycle." >>> it's another day of slow progress as nearly two dozen states pick up the pieces from sandy. the death toll now stands at more than 80. also rising is the costs. now estimated at north of $60 billion. that's not hard to consider when you look at the incredible damage especially along the new jersey coastline. homes ripped off their foundations. many have simply vanished. carried in full right out to sea. those amazing images continue to pour in. hard to watch and simply hard to believe. nbc's michelle franzen begins our coverage this hour. she's back for us in toms river. michelle is the only reporter to make it into the neighboring community of seaside heights. so tell us, michelle, what you saw there. >> reporter: well, we were there yesterday and also early this morning. and the devastati
. the president drew a crowd of 23,000 people this afternoon in hollywood, florida, after 24,000 people turned out last night to hear him in virginia. think about that. 24,000 in virginia last night. 23,000 people in florida today. in concord, new hampshire, this morning, when 14,000 people turned out to hear president obama, that was the largest crowd ever assembled for a political event in the entire state of new hampshire. in the entire history of the state of new hampshire. i realize new hampshire may not be big, but new hampshire is old. and this is the biggest political rally ever held in the state of new hampshire for the entire time that new hampshire has existed. we cannot be sure why more people are turning out to hear president obama today than are turning out to hear mitt romney. maybe it's just the power of incumbency. people want to hear a president speak no matter who the president is just because he's a president. governor romney's rallies have today have been significantly smaller than obama's. for the romney campaign, these are really quite good crowds. all around for both campai
leads in five of them. only holds on an average lead in florida. this is why mitt romney will not give up on campaigning until the bitter end. he's back on the stump tomorrow. in a last-ditch effort to pull off a shocker in these two states. it's not surprising. there are efforts underway to make it harder for people to vote. you're seeing the result of manmade voter suppression. lines for early voting stretched around corners in ohio. make no mistake, this is a calculated decision to limit access to polls. ohio secretary of state john husted has been the focal point of a lot of criticism. he approved the restriction on early voting around the state. the same is happening in florida. voters waited as late as 2:30 a.m. to cast a ballot this weekend. voters reported wait times of up to, i cannot believe this number, seven hours. more people voting in democratic-leaning areas is bad for the gop. republican governor rick scott reduced number of early voting days and was able to defeat a court challenge to uphold his ruling in most of the state of florida. republicans, they want it it it th
parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know that i say what i mean and i mean what i say. you know what i believe. you know where i stand. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> we know what this president believes. but governor romney -- >> with these guys, it all depends on who you're talking to, where you are, what time of day it is, what state you're in, what the polls say. how the weather is. it
state. in florida, nbc news now jekting president obama to be the winner in florida. it only took them four days after the election to be done. that puts president obama at 332 votes and president obama at 206 electoral votes. meanwhile, we've got a new result to bring you from california as well. republican congresswoman mary bono mack has conceded defeat so democrat ruiz will take office. bono mack served 14 years in office and she connie mack also lost election this year. >>> the obama administration pushing back, a deadline for the state to submit plans for health care exchange. a piece of the affordable health care act. they will now have an extra three weeks. states have the option of stepping aside and allowing the federal government to run it for them. the resignation of the general petraeus who stepped down as cia director on friday. multiple government sources tell nbc news that e-mails between petraeus and broadwell were indicative of an extramarital affair. kristen welker is joining me. let's start with the fbi investigation into this biographer paula broadwell. what can yo
states. ohio and florida. the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt romney can't win in ohio what would his path to 270, what would his path to victory have to look like. >> makes it very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got
for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground florida, virginia and ohio. here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. we're locked up right here in democracy plaza. what makes the sleep number store different? you walk into a conventional mattress store, it's really not about you. we have so much technology in our store to really show the customers what's going on with their bodies. this is your body there. you can see a little more pressure in the shoulders and in the hips. ... now you can feel what happens as we raise your sleep number setting and allow the bed to contour to your individual shape. oh, wow. that feels really good. at sleep number we've created a collection of innovations dedicated to individualizing your comfort. the sleep number collection, designed around the innovative sleep number bed - a bed with dualair technology that allows you to adjust to the exact comfort your body needs. each of your bodies. so whatever yo
, time for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground in the big three, florida, virginia and ohio. we'll go to each state live. >>> and speaking of flova, florida, ohio, virginia, here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. be sure to check it out. you're watching a primetime edition of "the daily rundown." we are locked up right here in democracy plaza. we'll be right back. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. i just finished a bowl of your new light chicken pot pie soup and it's so rich and creamy... is it really 100 calories? let me put you on webcan... ...lean roasted chicken... and a creamy broth mmm i can still see you. [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. ♪ [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] introducing zzzquil sleep-aid. [ snoring ] [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] it's not for colds, it's not for pain, it's just for sleep. [ snoring ] [ male announcer ] because sleep is a beautiful thing. [ birds chirping ] introduc
vote! >> this is what democracy looks like in florida. and team romney thinks they have it all locked up. >> it looks like the map is starting to he can pand drastically in our favor. >> the spin from the right just keeps oncoming. tonight, richard wolffe and jonathan altar have a massive day on the campaign trail. >>> plus, all the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their chief lie. james hoffa of the teamster reacts. and karen finney and e.j. dionne talk about the rightys who blame hurricane sandy for the rough finish. >> the hurricane is what has broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us, folks. the days are racing by and time is running out for the 2012 presidential campaign. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. the campaign continues to trail but romney went to cleveland today to project strength. >> the chose of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be re-elected, he would -- it's possible but not likely. >> romney's running mat
in florida. but within the margin of error. also, early voting in florida ends today after the number of early voting days in that state is cut by half this year. 25 million people have already voted early in 34 states and washington, d.c. >>> and back to the frenetic pace on the campaign trail. both candidates have already held rallies in new hampshire, iowa, and wisconsin. >> you do want to be able to trust your president. you want to know -- you want to know that -- that your president means what he says and says what he means. after four years of president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i have made. you may at times have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know what i believe. you know where i stand. >> made a lot of promises, but those promises he couldn't keep. and the difference between us, he made promises he couldn't keep. i'm making promises i have kept and i will keep them for the american people. i have a clear and unequivocal message, and that is america is about to come roaring back. [ cheering ] >> joining me now, "washington post" column
as long as six hours in florida have led to a major development in that state. and we will have a lot more on that later. in these final 48 hours, this race has become an all-out sprint. today president obama chris crossed the country starting in new hampshire. flying to florida and ohio for events. and ending the rally in colorado. governor romney began in iowa and held events in ohio and pennsylvania. he will end his day in virginia. president obama whipped voters into fever pitch on the trail. today, before record crowd of 14,000 in new hampshire. and then last night, it was another ruckus rally under virginia. >> now it's all up to you. it is up to the volunteers. it is -- it's up to somebody knocking on the door. it is up to someone making a phone call. it's up to someone talking to their mom or dad or their wife or husband or grandma or grandpa. and that's how democracy's supposed to be. it is up to you. you've got the power. and that's why i need you, virginia. don't get tired. don't get weary. if you're willing to knock on some doors with me and make some phone calls for me, grab s
of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their lie. and karen finney responds to the righties who blame hurricane sandy for mitt romney's rough finish. >> the hurricane is what broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us tonight. folks, thanks for watching. the days are racing by and time is running out. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. romney went to clooeflds today to project strength. in the choice of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be reelected -- [ booing ] >> it's possible, but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hale mary pass in wisconsin. he was tailgating with packer fans today at lambeau field. then it was off to ohio as well. >> two more days. just two more days. two more days. this is one of those elections we will think back at and look at for years. >> the national polling average has president obama on top by just half a point. romney isn't as close in the states where the election is going to be decided. i
. running mate paul ryan will hold events in ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, and florida. meanwhile, president obama was quick to respond to governor romney's latest attacks during his tour through ohio on friday. >> suddenly he's the candidate of change. but we know what change looks like. and what he's trying to sell, that ain't it. that ain't it. >> two new nbc/"wall street journal"/marist polls to show with you this morning. president obama with a six-point lead among likely voters in ohio. the numbers you see there, 51% to 45%. then going on to florida, the president gets support from 49% of likely voters. mitt romney, very close behind with 47%. let's go now to the latest on governor romney's campaign stops today. he starts off with a rally coming up in just about two hours, 9:00 a.m. nbc's peter alexander is in new hampshire. good morning to you, peter. >> alex, good morning to you. we're on the tarmac here now in new hampshire, specifically just a short time from now this is going to fill up with a big crowd greeting mitt romney and then sending him on his wail for what will be an exha
virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the end. >> what's it going to mean for obama if obama wins it is the ground level organization. i was in an obama campaign headquarters on the outskirts
. >> florida, we know what changes. >> your help, pennsylvania -- >> i need you, ohio. >> virginia is the best. >> turn out for me, colorado. we will win this state. >> as the candidates barnstorm the battleground states, new polls show the president may have caught an 11th hour break with voters in this deadlocked race may be moving ever so slightly in his direction. our new nbc news/"the wall street journal" poll the president does lead 48% to 47% among likely voters. a look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight, maybe even a mirror image of the 2004 showdown between president bush and senator john kerry. we see some movement towards the president. obama leads by seven points, almost four in ten. and he leads by four points in the battleground states, again, though, within the margin of error. the president is holding on to an eight-point advantage among women and that's slightly higher than romney's edge among men. the president's job rating sits at 49%. take a look at these numbers. 67% of likely voters approve of his handling of hurricane sandy. haven't seen numbers like that f
for the oval office began all those years o years ago. mitt romney, five stop, five states. he began in florida, follow stops in virginia, the president following the president in ohio. then his final day in his home away from home, new hampshire. this morning though in florida, governor romney -- capable of bringing about change. >> it comes down to this. do the people want four more years like the last four years? or do you want real change finally? >> president obama all weekend on the campaign trail telling supporters that they know him. and he's the one, the only one, that they can trust. >> you may not agree with every decision i've made, michelle doesn't agree with me on everything. you may sometimes be frustrated at the pace of change. i get frustrated at the pace of change sometime, but you know, i say what i mean and i mean what i say. >> both candidates appearing before enormous crowds with enormous stakes. three new polls show the race even steven in the final stretch. >> let's just pause for a moment and appreciate you close this race is. >> the president is stubbornly holding on.
. and the state in question is not florida for once. important updates coming up there including what may be a deconcession by a democrat who previously thought he had lost in a big important u.s. senate race. that's all ahead. >>> but we have to begin with breaking news out of washington. "the washington post" is reporting tonight that president obama is considering massachusetts senator john kerry as his new secretary of defense. that's right, defense. putting the decorated veteran and former presidential candidate in charge at the pentagon and not at the state department, as had been widely speculated. "the washington post" is sourcing its reporting to unnamed senior administration officials. senator kerry is also not commenting tonight. if senator kerry does move to the cabinet for defense or any other post, there will be an immediate political question for the democrats as to what happens to his u.s. senate seat in massachusetts. senator kerry had mostly been talked about as a potential replacement for secretary of state hillary clinton. the post reporting tonight that that nominatio
to. been more matter of fact and businesslike, particularly virginia, florida, and ohio. you hear some enthusiastic happy talk from operatives. >> where does that come from on the republican side? what is it based upon? >> they're monitoring precincts. everybody is monitoring their own turnout. >> isn't the republican turnout always great? >> there's always a possibility it was going to be higher on election day because of the emphasis on early voting for the obama campaign, but one of my theories on this has always been both sides could be right about their own turnout. they just have been i think incorrect assumption because they're right on their turnout model that the other guy is wrong. >> this is a time before the exit polls really start coming in when you have to call what i think of as my golden sources. these are people state by state -- >> and they're state guys. >> state guys and gals that i have dealt with for a long time and that i trust. i talked to the guy i trust the most in pennsylvania, our home state. he's a republican. he said that on his side, he said turnout
away. mitt romney was back on the stump in florida today. the candidate is still staying quiet on his commitment to fema, but a campaign spokesperson released this statement, so good that we can hear from the campaign on this and not the candidate, right? "a romney/ryan administration will always ensure that disaster funding is there for those in need, period." period? vice president joe biden was campaigning also in the sunshine state today. president obama returns to the campaign trail tomorrow. he plans to barnstorm seven battleground states over the next several days. but today we did not see politics in action. what we saw was government in action. people with authority to make decisions. chris christie is not the first person, i think, that you would think of when you come to the, you know, arena of bipartisan cooperation. he is a mitt romney supporter and a fierce opponent of many democratic issues. for whatever reason, we saw a different chris christie with president obama today. this is what cooperation looks like. when the american people need government to work, these two e
and florida, but put tempers to the test. >> let them vote! >> the other big wild card, sandy. a week after the storm recovery efforts are still winding slowly through the hardest hit. new jersey governor chris christie who praised president obama's response to sandy repeated his support for mitt romney. sort of. >> on tuesday i'm voting for mitt romney because i think he's the best guy for the job. it doesn't mean that i can't turn to the president of the united states of america and say to him, thank you, sir, for providing good leadership in this crisis. >> and whom do you trust? the grid iron predicts. a redskin hometown defeat favors the challenger but the lsu/alabama matchup offers good news for the incumbent. >> and good day. i'm andrea mitchell live in democracy plaza in new york city. joining me for our daily fix, chris cizilla, msnbc contributor, and managing editor of post politics.com and mark halperin political analyst for "time" and msnbc. so, first to you, chris, let's talk about the state of the race. >> well, we're almost there, andrea. i think the state of the race is that
declaring barack obama the declared winner in florida. that state finally finished counting all of the votes four days after the election. the win in the sunshine state gives the president a total of 332 electoral votes. governor romney at 206 electoral votes. this gives president obama 51% of the popular vote. mitt romney 48%. good afternoon. i'm craig melvin. you're watching msnbc, the place for politics. let's go straight to nbc news correspondent kerry sanders from miami. the election is finally put to rest. >> folks in florida have been wondering what is going on. the numbers show that the state did tilt to obama. he got 50% of the vote. romney took 49.1% of the vote. clearly, florida remains a battleground state. the question is, why did this take so long? part of the fact is that early voting was cut back by the republican governor rick scott. if you take a look at the newspaper here, this is the tampa bay times headlines. it says, no apology from scott. he went on to say, what i'm trying to do is improve the way government works. i believe in efficiency. i believe every vote has to c
'll talk about what happened in florida as well. you have three to four hours. people have jobs and have places to go, but they also want to vote. it is utterly important. what's going on there? >> reporter: in ohio there is only one early voting center for every county. so, for instance, a couple of weeks ago i was in dlcolumbus where the early voting center is outside of columbus. it was the same scene. there's only one center in each county. a lot of people want it to vote early. some had to vote early because of work schedules tomorrow, and that's why the lines are so long. tamron. >> thank you very much in cincinnati. greatly appreciate your time. for the candidates themselves, this is it. right now president obama just landed in ohio, the state where you saw those long lines just a second ago, after a morning stop in wisconsin. mitt romney is headed to his second stop in virginia. the president will close out his final day of campaigning in iowa, the state that pushed him into the national spotlight. mitt romney will make his land stand later today in his home away from home, new h
still don't know which way florida voted, not that it matters. with less than a point separating the two candidates, florida will be forced into a recount under state law if the margin drops below .5%. some races were decided yesterday including montana's senate race where jon tester held off danny raider. hidity heitkamp won by fewer than 3,000 votes, but she's been declared the winner. elizabeth warren's victory in massachusetts helped democrats increase their majority in the senate. it was also a big election for women in general. tuesday saw the election of five new female senators bringing the total in that body to 20. that is a record. >>> for the first time, the state of new hampshire has an all female delegation including the governor, congress and both senators. new peaks of campaign spending. in iowa, the cost per electoral vote $12.3 million. in virginia almost $12 million and nearly $11 million was spent 18 times over in the fight for ohio. >>> on wednesday mitt romney supporters were vocal about the final outcome including top surrogate governor chris christie of new jersey.
friend, a florida woman named jill kelley. the source of those e-mails led them to the author of general's biographer, paula broadwell. correspondence between broadwell and petraeus displayed evidence on an extramarital affair. now leaders of congressional intelligence are demanding to know more about the fbi's scrutiny of the nation's top spy, especially its timing and why they were kept in the dark along with the rest of the nation. >> we received no advance notice. it was like a lightning bolt. the way i found out, i came back to washington thursday night. friday morning, the staff director told me there were a number of calls from press about this. i called david petraeus. >> and questions remain about why the president and white house were not notified until late last week, months after this all began and days after petraeus and broadwell were questioned in the case. >> once the fbi realized it was investigating the director of the cia or the cia director had come within its focus or its scope, i believe at that time they had an absolute obligation to tell the president. not to prot
in florida by two points. the president appears to be in great shape. >> he appears to be. i was at a romney event in virginia he a seemed to be less than the even thus yachl that you would expect to see on the last day of a campaign. i think we should be careful. all of this could be wrong. yes, it does appear that things are moving in obama's direction. we in the media have blown these things before. predictions are precarious but it does look like it's going to be a good night for obama. >> catherine, the gop -- it's not going right. listen to the romney surrogate, john kasich, what he had to say. >> i think god created pollsters to make astroll gers look accurate. the romney internal polling shows that we are still slightly ahead. >> so here you have the governor of ohio saying the pollsters are wrong, their internal polls show that they are slightly ahead. are they spinning? is he in denial? >> then you hear people -- i believe it was karl rove -- who has already spined a narrative that it was hurricane sandy that may have shifted if he loses. so they are beginning to create a conversat
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that will make up his firewall today. wisconsin, here in ohio and iowa. mitt romney just wrapped up a florida. now, he's headed to virginia and then back here to ohio. he'll end his day in new hampshire. polls show this race is extremely close. a dead heat nationally. very close in the battleground states. perhaps a very slight advantage for president obama. he seems to have a little bit of momentum going into the final day. well, democrats point to long lines for early voting as a sign of enthusiasm, but republicans say their crowds are bigger and the obama magic from 2008 has warn off. the president's closing argument, a fair shot for everyone and a chance to do even better. >> we've made real progress these past four years, but here's the thing, ohio. we know we've got more work to do. that's why we're here today. >> but mitt romney says four years under a president romney will deliver change. >> four years ago, let's look at the promises the president made. he promised to do so very much. but frankly, he fell so very short. you hope that president obama would live up to his promise to bri
. president obama wins by at least 303 electoral votes. romney got 206. nbc news hasn't called florida yet, even notice, a night later, which has 29 electoral votes. right now the president leads 50% to 49% down there. the popular vote across the country, obama leads by 2.8 million votes, 50% to 48%. chuck, this is something, i know you -- i don't know if you're billy bean or into the money ball stuff going on now, but i have nothing but absolute -- what is the word, praise for people like nate silver but more importantly the guys in plouffe and axelrod and messina. they seemed to have the numbers right and we were all the doubters. >> they had this secret government study that was available to the public called the census and they seemed to understand it a lot better than the folks in the other political party, on the republican side. when you look at what they did. you know, they knew this wasn't going to be easy. they knew there was going to be a fired up republican vote. they knew they were going to have some issues and sort of -- among some conservative white voters, among white men.
at this. florida senate race, republican connie mack lost to democrat bill nilsson by 13 points overall but 20 by women. in missouri, republican todd akin lost to claire mccaskill by 16 points and women, 22 points. tom tom smith in pennsylvania lost 18 to women. richard mour dock lost by six points overall and lost 12 points women. and in virginia, george allen, by six points overall and twice that margin among women by 12 points. in wisconsin, republican tommie thompson lost to tammy baldwin the democrat by five points and his margin by women, admirably enormous by triple that, lost women by 15 points. massachusetts, scott brown republican incumbent lost by eight points overall and 18 points among women. the great state of huo republican josh mandel lost to sherrod brown by five points overall, his margin of defeat among women, 14 points, in montana, denny reberg lost by four points and by women, lost pie nine 9. the republican won by one point and did it no thanks to women, lost wom been in six points so women did not support the guy who won, they supported the democrat shelley berkle
voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the edge in colorado. let's turn to bob shrum, professor of public policy at nyu and contributor to the daily beast. great to have you with us tonight. let's leave the names out oft for a moment. obama and romney. let's just take candidate a and candidate b. who would you want to be right now with the numbers playing? >> you would want to be candidate a assuming that's the unmentionable who is the president of the united states. he has a lot of roots to 270 electoral votes. if you look at candidate b, candidate b isn't even going to florida in the next few days. you can interpret that in one of two ways. a thinks he's already got it won, and the polls don't show that at all, or alternatively he thinks he has to bet he hasn't won, that he can't carry ohio, so he has to go to pennsylvania as john mccain did, as other republicans have over the last 12, 20 years, and they never carried the state. >> so why -- with that number, and the -- with the
to nbc's first read, romney was in florida yesterday and virginia today. he'll also hit wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, and colorado before the election. the president, this is an interesting map for him, he will be in wisconsin, where he is right now, with nevada, colorado, ohio, iowa, virginia, and florida. of course, they're sending their number one surrogates, the vp nominee, out where they're not going. is this the map, centered in ohio, virginia, and florida, is it still where the action is? >> it is for governor romney for sure. it's always been the case that governor romney needs to win florida, needs to win virginia, and pretty much needs to win ohio. even then he still needs to pick up another state somewhere along the way. you can see in his map that he's spending months of his time in florida, virginia, and ohio and a little bit of time in one of those other states that he thinks he might be able to get a pickup, whether that's wisconsin, whether that's colorado. those are the states he thinks he has the best chance. he's not spending time in iowa. he'll spend two different
heads to florida for an event with recording artist pitt bull. he ends his day in colorado with dave matthews. mitt romney kicked off this f d final sunday in iowa with a rally in des moines. >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want four more years like the last four years or do you want real change? look, president obama promised change but he couldn't deliver it. i not only promised change, i have a record of achieving it. >> governor romney has events scheduled in pennsylvania and virginia, but before that, he heads to ohio. a new poll shows the race tied in pennsylvania. "the pittsburgh tribune" poll show them both at 47%. president obama is leading by five points in iowa 47% to 42%. governor romney is set to speak in cleveland in the next hour. chris jansing is there for us. good morning. >> good morning to you, alex. we'll hear a two-prong message and the same that we heard from barack obama. the first is vote. this is trench warfare in the closing hours of the campaign. both sides believe that this game is going to be won on the ground and they have be
, president obama all but sweeps the battleground states with only florida still left undecided. we'll have a live report from nbc's kelly o'donnell in ohio. the state everybody was watching last night. a special edition of "way too early" back to 30 rock in a moment. >>> well, it's 5:41 in the morning on east coast. we have a call that's just come into us at nbc. in minnesota's sixth district, michelle bachmann has been re-elected. the republican incumbent re-elected there in the state of minnesota by a very close margin. they were obviously counting these votes deep into the night. but now nbc has called michelle bachmann winning re-election in her district. >>> well, president obama has won a second term. in the end the electoral talley, 303 for the president. 206 for mitt romney with florida still throughout and too close to call. and the popular vote, a difference of more than two million votes separated the candidates. after midnight, governor romney conceded the race in a short speech. >> this is a time of great challenges for america and i pray that the president will be successful
the romney campaign in florida because it's getting desperate. the miami-dade democratic party joins me with just how this is playing out in florida. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use, it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. >>> coming up, with only five days to go before the election mitt romney turns to the kitchen sink strategy and unloads every lie he's got in the pantry. we'll have the details coming up. >>> then the united autoworkers file an ethics complaint in order to learn more about mitt romney's investments and profits that he made during the automobile loan. we'll visit with uaw president bob king. >>> and during the height of the hurricane sandy, nurses at nyu's langone medical center worked tirelessly to save newborn babies. one of those nurses will join me later to share her experience. and you can share your thoughts with us on facebook and on twitter using #edshow. we're coming right back. copd includes chronic bron
and on facebook. >>> coming up, a down and dirty ad from the romney campaign in florida because it's getting desperate. annette taddeo of the miami-dade democratic party joins me with just how this is playing out in florida. can you help me with something? nope! good talk. [ male announcer ] or free windows 8 training when you buy a computer at staples. another way staples makes it easier to upgrade. when you buy a computer at staples. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> coming up, with only five days to go before the election mitt romney turns to the kitchen sink strategy and unloads every lie he's got in the pantry. we'll have the details coming up. >>> then the united autoworkers file an ethics complaint in order to learn more about mitt romney'
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